Cities generate most of the global economy, and most of its energy use, resource demands, and climate emissions. How we build cities over the next decades will largely determine whether we can deliver a bright green future. - Alex Steffen
The expansion of urban areas to accommodate the burgeoning urban population and the rapid development of satellite cities around existing urban centers are presenting significant challenges related to energy consumption, carbon emissions, and environmental degradation. This proliferation of unplanned urbanization threatens to undermine India's objectives concerning emission reduction targets and Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs).
India's SDGs encompass the provision of affordable, reliable, sustainable, and modern energy access for all; the creation of inclusive, safe, resilient, and sustainable cities; and actions to mitigate climate change and its impacts, as outlined by NITI Aayog. According to the Ministry of Statistics And Programme Implementation (MoSPI), India is undergoing an unprecedented pace of urbanization. In 2011, 31% of India's population resided in urban areas, with projections indicating that within the next two to three decades, approximately 50% of India's population will be residing in cities (Census-2011)
Figure 1 Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation
India is currently witnessing exponential growth in per capita income, expenditure, and energy demand. This growth, coupled with urbanization, constitutes a significant aspect that must be carefully considered for future development endeavors. To effectively address this trajectory, future cities must be equipped to accommodate the escalating demand, a feat achievable through the integration of sustainability principles across all facets of city planning and operation.
The scientific community, actively engaged in climate change research, plays a pivotal role in advising and assisting the government in strategic policy formulation for forthcoming urban landscapes. Continuous efforts are underway to advance sustainable and climate-resilient solutions, aimed at enhancing resource efficiency and ameliorating the micro and macro climates of urban areas. Over the past few decades, numerous formal assemblies of scientists, professionals, policymakers, and government officials have convened to deliberate on climate change issues and chart the country's course towards sustainable development.
Initiatives such as Climate Resilient Cities, Smart Cities, and Solar Cities stem from these productive discussions, propelled by organizations advocating for climate action and subsequently endorsed and implemented by the government to prepare for the future urban milieu. Energy access emerges as a critical concern amidst escalating energy demands. According to the Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI), per capita energy consumption has surged by 50% over the past decade, underscoring the urgency of proactive measures in this domain.
Figure 2 Energy Statistics 2016 MoSPI
The energy-access problem statement encompasses three dimensions: demand, supply, and environmental impact. Future cities must aspire to be both energy efficient and energy sufficient, leveraging internal resources to meet demand without burdening areas beyond city boundaries. These cities, characterized by resource neutrality and carbon neutrality, will generate their own energy sustainably, thereby minimizing environmental impact.
Renewable resources will serve as the cornerstone of future city energy portfolios. Conventional power plants will transition from baseload operations to variable output, with city-level smart distribution networks dynamically balancing supply and demand in real time. India's action plan for renewable energy, exemplified by initiatives like the National Solar Mission and the Solar Cities program, underscores the country's commitment to this transformative trajectory. Primary energy resources will include solar, wind, biomass, and geothermal energy, with secondary resources such as bio-waste and waste heat also contributing.
Reports such as “100% Renewable Energy by 2050” suggest that India has the potential to achieve full renewable energy reliance by 2050, coupled with aggressive energy efficiency measures capable of yielding substantial demand savings. The transition to renewable energy sources promises enhanced economic viability.
Future cities will feature advanced transportation models predominantly powered by electricity and clean fuels, thereby reducing reliance on traditional automobile-based networks. Underground rail networks, complemented by pedestrian and bicycle-friendly city roads, represent a promising alternative. Policy initiatives promoting electric vehicles signal significant progress towards this vision.
India's recent Smart Cities program aims to transform existing and new cities into forward-looking urban centers. These smart cities, characterized by integrated IT systems, will enable seamless and efficient operation, offering a glimpse into the future of urban living.
The realization of smart cities hinges on the readiness and education of their inhabitants. As first-generation smart citizens, it is incumbent upon us to prepare ourselves and future generations for the transition to these futuristic urban environments, ensuring a smooth and sustainable evolution of our built environment.